The Monday After
COASTLINE, FROM THE CFO'S CHAIR
// THE SETUP
You are Coastline's CFO. Three weeks ago you signed off FY25: reported NPAT of US$14.2m, up 9%, in a year when the rest of the sector went backwards. Every line is defensible. The US$3.2m inventory provision release followed a clean stocktake, and the auditors signed it. Supplier rebates are now recognised on order placement, after a policy review. US$4.1m of store refits went to the balance sheet under the standard, where earlier years had expensed them as repairs. The audit opinion is unqualified. The board has approved lifting the payout policy from 60% to 75% of NPAT; the CEO's letter says "disciplined execution"; the AGM notice is at the printer.
On Friday evening the agent bank rang. One of the four club banks has declined consent to the payout change, and it has circulated its reasons to the whole club: the three footnotes set side by side, operating cash flow of US$11.8m, down 31%, cash conversion of 83% against 131% last year. And a cure, in writing: consent revisited when cash conversion holds above 90% for two consecutive halves. The other three banks, comfortable a week ago, have gone quiet.
The CEO wants a plan for Monday's executive meeting. The AGM timetable does not move.
Three defensible lines. One number you left out of the letter. What do you take into Monday's meeting?
Healthy listed retailers convert 90–110% of NPAT into operating cash across a cycle. The bank's cure is written in that currency, not in yours.