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// DRILLS / ISSUE 05 / MERIDIAN · MD
ISSUE 05 · 2026-09-05 · 5 MIN READ

The Ninety Days

MERIDIAN, FROM THE MD'S CHAIR

LOGISTICS · THE MD'S CHAIR · DIFFICULTY 3/5

// THE SETUP

You are the second generation at Meridian, US$52m of linehaul and warehousing and a nine-year file the bank calls disciplined. Two years ago the national grocery chain was 31% of your revenue. Then you won the renewed national distribution contract, and the chain is now 58% and climbing as the volumes step up. You asked the bank for US$6.0m of term debt: eighteen linehaul units and the fit-out of a distribution centre dedicated to the chain's network. Five-year contract, volume commitments, and a 90-day termination for convenience clause that procurement declined to negotiate. Everyone signs it.

The term sheet came back this morning, and it is not the US$6.0m you asked for in the shape you asked for it. The trucks are funded in full over five years, standard security. The dedicated fit-out is funded conservatively and amortised inside thirty-six months, so that the loan's exposed tail never outlives what the notice period could practically do to you. Quarterly reporting on contract margin, not just revenue. And a sentence the relationship manager read out rather than paraphrased: the bank is underwriting Meridian's indispensability to the chain, the cost of replacing you, rather than the paper.

The renewal gave up 90 basis points of margin, procurement doing its job. The fleet averages 6.8 years. The contract starts next quarter and the chain's service levels require the full capacity from day one.

The bank has told you which of your assets are yours and which belong to the customer. What do you do with the structure?

// FY25 SNAPSHOT
SOURCE: THE BANK'S TERM SHEET · FY25 · COMPOSITE CASE — FICTIONAL
REVENUE
US$52m
▲ +21% (2yr)
TOP CUSTOMER
58%
▲ from 31%
CONTRACT
5 years
90-day break clause
EBITDA MARGIN
8.2%
▼ −90 bps on renewal
FLEET AGE
6.8 years
▲ replacement deferred

Dedicated-contract capex is conventionally amortised inside the contract term. The bank amortised yours inside the notice period instead. The difference is the file's real subject.

// YOUR JUDGMENT

What do you do with the structure?