A company asks to refinance. Its year in four numbers:
- EBITDA
- US$6m
- Capex + tax
- US$2m
- Interest
- US$1m
- Principal due
- US$2m
Work the numbers, read a whole file, and say what you would recommend.
BY MICHAEL SHANG · SIXTEEN YEARS IN COMMERCIAL BANKING · UPDATED
A credit analyst practice test asks you to do the work of the seat under time: calculate cover and leverage, read a borrower's three years of accounts, find what the numbers hide, and make a recommendation. This paper has three parts: the numbers, a whole file set on one exhibit, and the calls a desk makes. Every question is original, and none comes from any bank's test. Sit it against a thirty-minute clock with the reads held to the end, or take it as practice; each option then shows how far it sits from a senior banker's read.
BASIS Practitioner judgment from sixteen years in commercial banking, set out in How Bankers Think (Highbank Press, 2026). Every borrower on this site is a composite constructed for teaching, not a client. The market is mid-market commercial lending as practised in New Zealand and Australia; where a convention differs elsewhere, the page says so.
// HOW TO SIT IT
Answer below as practice, and each read opens as you go. Or sit it as a test: 30 minutes, with every read held back until you finish.
PART A
Sums a credit analyst is expected to do without looking them up. Work each one before you look at the options.
A company asks to refinance. Its year in four numbers:
A distributor's year, in four numbers:
A distributor's reported EBITDA is US$5.1m. The CFO's bridge adds back three items.
A retailer's accounts keep its store leases off the balance sheet. Its banker restates them as if the leases were capitalised.
A US$10m loan. The bank estimates a 2% chance the borrower defaults within a year, and expects to lose 40% of what is owed if it does.
A bank lent 65% of the value of a factory valued at US$10m. If it has to sell, it expects a forced-sale discount of 30%, and selling costs of 5% of the sale price.
A supplier offers its customers 2% off for paying in 10 days instead of 40.
PART B
One borrower, ten questions. Read the exhibit first, and read it in a lender's order.
A family-owned maker of stainless-steel equipment for commercial kitchens. Figures in US$000.
It asks to raise its revolving line from US$4.0m to US$6.0m “to fund growth”. It has never missed a payment, and every covenant passes.
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 20,000 | 23,000 | 27,000 |
| Cost of sales | 14,000 | 16,330 | 19,710 |
| Gross profit | 6,000 | 6,670 | 7,290 |
| Overheads | 3,800 | 4,270 | 4,890 |
| EBITDA | 2,200 | 2,400 | 2,400 |
| Depreciation | 500 | 550 | 600 |
| Interest | 300 | 360 | 480 |
| Tax | 392 | 417 | 370 |
| Net profit | 1,008 | 1,073 | 950 |
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debtors | 3,300 | 4,400 | 6,200 |
| Stock | 2,300 | 3,100 | 4,500 |
| Fixed assets | 4,000 | 4,050 | 4,150 |
| Creditors | 1,700 | 2,100 | 2,900 |
| Revolving line (limit 4,000) | 350 | 1,627 | 3,977 |
| Term loan | 3,000 | 2,500 | 2,000 |
| Equity | 4,550 | 5,323 | 5,973 |
| Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|
| Capital expenditure | 600 | 700 |
| Dividend | 300 | 300 |
| Term loan repaid | 500 | 500 |
No cash balance at any year end. Debtor days are on revenue; stock and creditor days on cost of sales. An aged debtors list and a stock list have been asked for.
From Exhibit A, Year 3.
From Exhibit A, Year 3: debtor days 84, stock days 83, creditor days 54.
From Exhibit A, Year 3.
From Exhibit A, Year 3.
From Exhibit A, Year 3. Take cash available for debt service as EBITDA less tax and capital expenditure.
From Exhibit A: debt service cover is 1.4 times on paper, yet operating cash flow in Year 3 was minus 850.
From Exhibit A: revenue up 35% in two years, gross margin down from 30% to 27%, debtor days up from 60 to 84, stock days up from 60 to 83.
From Exhibit A: you have thirty minutes with the finance director before you write your paper.
From Exhibit A. Suppose the line became a borrowing base: 80% of debtors under 90 days plus 50% of moving stock. Of debtors of 6,200, 1,700 are over 90 days. Of stock of 4,500, 1,500 is slow.
From Exhibit A: the borrower wants the line raised to US$6.0m to fund growth. It is profitable, has never missed a payment, and every covenant passes.
PART C
Situations from the desk, each with a decision in it.
A seasonal toy importer asks for a five-year US$2m term loan 'for working capital'. Its stock peaks every October and is gone by January.
A services company's profit has risen four years running. Its operating cash flow, as a share of net profit, has gone 110%, 95%, 78%, 61%.
Profit is up. Debtor days have lengthened three years running. The notes have quietly dropped a sentence about 'conservative provisioning'. The audit opinion is clean.
A manufacturer reports net profit of US$3.0m and operating cash flow of US$5.5m. In the same year its payables days went from 45 to 80.
A borrower's revenue is up 6%, in line with plan. Its receivables are up 24%. Both sit inside every limit the covenants set.
Two US$3m requests land the same morning. One borrower's cash flow covers the debt comfortably, but the only security is stock. The other offers a first mortgage over land worth twice the loan, with cash flow that barely covers the interest.
A wine exporter's June balance sheet shows stock at a high and cash at a low. A colleague's draft paper says 'liquidity deteriorating'.
Writing a credit paper for a client you want to win, you find a covenant breach at its previous bank that the client did not mention.
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Every question here is original; none is any bank's real test. Written for: Credit analyst, Credit sanctioner, Portfolio manager, Workout and recoveries manager, Lending operations officer.
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