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// WORKED EXAMPLETHE ARITHMETIC A DECISION RESTS ON

Capex-to-Depreciation Ratio: a Worked Example

The accounts say the plant is wearing out. Is anyone replacing it?

BY MICHAEL SHANG · SIXTEEN YEARS IN COMMERCIAL BANKING · UPDATED · 6 MIN READ

// THE SHORT ANSWER

A lender uses the capex-to-depreciation ratio to ask whether today's cash flow is being flattered by plant that is not being replaced. Depreciation is the accounts' estimate of how much of the asset base was used up in the year; capital spending is what the business paid to renew or add to it. Spending below the charge for several years in a row can mean a bill has been deferred, and the cash the business seems to generate includes money it will need for machinery later. The ratio only raises the question. The asset register, the plant's age and the lease notes answer it.

BASIS  Practitioner judgment from sixteen years in commercial banking, set out in How Bankers Think (Highbank Press, 2026). Every borrower on this site is a composite constructed for teaching, not a client. The market is mid-market commercial lending as practised in New Zealand and Australia; where a convention differs elsewhere, the page says so.

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PART OF Credit Analysis for Beginners

// 01 — WHY A LENDER SETS SPENDING AGAINST WEAR

A business that stops replacing equipment looks better for a while. Capital spending falls, so free cash flow rises; depreciation carries on, so profit is unchanged. Nothing in the income statement records that the plant is getting older. The cost arrives later, as a breakdown, a quality failure or a replacement programme that has to be funded at once. A lender repaid over five or seven years cares about that timing, because the deferred spending may fall due inside the life of its loan.

The reporting standards point at the same question. IAS 7, as adopted in New Zealand and as AASB 107 in Australia, encourages, without requiring, separate disclosure of the cash spent to maintain operating capacity and the cash spent to increase it, so that a reader can judge whether a business is investing enough to keep what it has. Few mid-market accounts make that split, so the lender builds its own reading, starting with this ratio.

// 02 — HOW THE RATIO IS CALCULATED AND WHY IT IS CRUDE

Capex-to-depreciation = capital spending ÷ depreciation, same period
Read over several years: Σ capex ÷ Σ depreciation

Each side has to be clean before the division means much. Capital spending comes from the investing section of the cash flow statement or the additions column of the asset note. Depreciation should be for the same assets: amortisation of acquired intangibles is usually left out, and so, often, is depreciation of leased assets, for a reason the example shows.

Four things distort the charge. It is based on what assets cost when bought, so after years of inflation it understates replacement cost. It rests on useful lives the business chooses, which under IAS 16 are reviewed each year end, and lengthening them cuts depreciation and lifts the ratio with no money spent. Accounts prepared on a tax basis, common among smaller private companies in New Zealand and Australia, may use tax rates rather than economic lives. And an asset that is fully depreciated but still running adds nothing to the charge, so an old plant can show a ratio that looks healthy.

// 03 — THE EXAMPLE

A fruit-juice processor, constructed for this page like every figure in it, runs presses, pasteurisers and a bottling hall. Its depreciation on owned plant and its capital spending over five years are below, in US$m. In year 5 it also replaced its old bottling line with a leased one, recognising a lease liability of US$3.0m and lease depreciation of US$0.5m; the lease is not in the cash flow statement's capex.

Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Five years
Capex 4.5 3.2 2.6 2.4 2.2 14.9
Depreciation 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0 20.6
Ratio 1.07 0.76 0.63 0.59 0.55 0.72
Year 5, three readings:
As the accounts give it: 2.2 ÷ (4.0 + 0.5) = 0.49×
Owned plant only: 2.2 ÷ 4.0 = 0.55×
Leased line as renewal: (2.2 + 3.0) ÷ (4.0 + 0.5) = 1.16×

Over five years the processor spent US$14.9m against US$20.6m of wear, a shortfall of US$5.7m. Part of it is the bottling line, which was renewed through a lease rather than bought: read as the renewal it is, year 5 looks like a year of reinvestment, not neglect. The rest is in the press hall. The asset register shows two presses, bought 21 years ago for US$1.6m between them, fully depreciated and still in use. They add nothing to the charge, so the ratio understates the gap, and the supplier's quote to replace them is US$3.4m. The figures are the example's, not a market norm.

// 04 — THE CAPEX FIGURE A LENDER READS BESIDE IT

The ratio mixes two kinds of spending. Maintenance capex keeps existing capacity working; growth capex adds capacity the business did not have. A processor that spent heavily on a new line would score above one while its old presses were still left to age. So a lender splits the spending first, then reads what remains against the charge, against the age of the main assets and against the share of their original cost already depreciated.

DEFINED IN ONE PARAGRAPH → · GROWTH CAPEX → · LEASES IN THE ACCOUNTS →

// 05 — WHERE IT DECIDES A FILE

It decides the lender's own forecast. A borrower whose plan carries capex at half of depreciation for five more years is assuming its plant will last, and the lender's case replaces that assumption with a maintenance figure it can defend, here including the presses. The cash available for debt service falls accordingly, and so may the amount the bank will lend. It can also shape the document: a facility may fund the replacement as a separate tranche, or a capex covenant may set how much the borrower may spend.

For accounts in transition the lender also checks the basis. Lease depreciation entered the charge under IFRS 16 from 2019 in all three markets for IFRS reporters, and the revised FRS 102 brings most leases onto the balance sheets of UK companies reporting under it for periods beginning on or after 1 January 2026, so such a borrower's ratio can drop in its first year on the new basis with nothing changed in its plant.

HOW BANKS READ MANUFACTURING → · LENDER'S FREE CASH FLOW →

// SOURCES

The documents the statements on this page rest on. Each was opened and checked when cited.

  1. Australian Accounting Standards Board, AASB 107 Statement of Cash Flows (compiled, June 2023), the Australian text of IAS 7 — paragraphs 50(c) and 51 — Encourages separate disclosure of cash flows that increase operating capacity and those required to maintain it, so users can judge whether a business is investing adequately in maintaining its capacity — section 01.
  2. Australian Accounting Standards Board, AASB 116 Property, Plant and Equipment (compiled), the Australian text of IAS 16 — paragraphs 51 and 73(e); and AASB 1060 General Purpose Financial Statements – Simplified Disclosures, property, plant and equipment disclosures — Requires useful lives and residual values to be reviewed at least at each financial year end, and the asset note to reconcile carrying amounts with additions and depreciation; Tier 2 reporters under AASB 1060 give the same reconciliation, without the prior-year comparative — section 02.

// QUESTIONS PEOPLE ASK

What is a good capex to depreciation ratio?
There is no single right level. A business growing fast or catching up on old plant will run above one; one that has just finished a large investment can run below one for a few years with no harm done. Inflation, asset lives and leasing all move the figure. A lender reads the ratio over several years, beside the asset register and the business's own plans, and asks what the trend means for this business rather than comparing it with a benchmark.
Why would capex be lower than depreciation?
Because capital spending comes in lumps and depreciation is spread evenly. After a major investment, the charge on the new assets runs for years while spending returns to a lower level. Spending can also be low because assets are being leased rather than bought, or because replacement is being deferred. The first two are usually harmless; the third is the one a lender is looking for, and the asset register tells them apart.
How does IFRS 16 affect the capex to depreciation ratio?
It adds depreciation of leased assets to the charge, while the leases themselves are not cash capital spending, so the ratio falls for a business that leases a lot. A lender either excludes lease depreciation and compares owned-asset spending with owned-asset wear, or adds new leases to capex as renewals. Either works if both sides are on the same basis.
Is depreciation the same as maintenance capex?
No. Depreciation spreads the historic cost of assets over the lives the business has chosen; maintenance capex is the cash needed to keep the existing operation running. They can be close in a stable business with modest inflation, which is why depreciation is often used as a first estimate of maintenance spending. They drift apart when replacement costs rise, when assets outlast their book lives, or when lives are set by tax rules.

// NEXT TO IT

// ON WHOSE DESK

The seats that read this term in an ordinary week. Each page says what the seat is for, who arrives in it, and the shape of the round it runs.

  • Credit analystReads a borrower and writes the recommendation a decision-maker will act on.
  • Credit sanctionerHolds delegated authority and signs — or declines — the lending the front line brings.
  • Portfolio managerOwns the credit on a book after the money is out — reviews, covenants, ratings and early warning.

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THE FIRST QUESTION · THE LOAN · CAPACITY

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