Two borrowers each carry debt of three times EBITDA. One sells software on three-year contracts; the other builds new houses for sale.
Earn-Out: a Worked Example
The seller is paid most when the business does best, from the same cash.
BY MICHAEL SHANG · SIXTEEN YEARS IN COMMERCIAL BANKING · UPDATED
// THE SHORT ANSWER
An earn-out makes part of an acquisition price depend on how the acquired business performs afterwards, so for the buyer's lender it is a payment of unknown size, owed later, from the same cash that services the loan. If the business misses its targets, little or nothing is paid. If it beats them, the payment is largest, and it often falls due in one sum. A lender reads three things in the clause: how the amount is calculated, where the cash to pay it will come from, and what the formula encourages a founder still in charge to do.
BASIS Practitioner judgment from sixteen years in commercial banking, set out in How Bankers Think (Highbank Press, 2026). Every borrower on this site is a composite constructed for teaching, not a client. The market is mid-market commercial lending as practised in New Zealand and Australia; where a convention differs elsewhere, the page says so.
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// 01 — WHY A LENDER READS THE PRICE NOT YET PAID
An earn-out is what a sale agreement does with a price the two sides cannot agree. The seller has priced in the growth it expects; the buyer will not pay for growth it has not seen. So part of the price is left open, to be set later by a formula applied to the business's results in one or more years after completion, usually revenue or EBITDA, often with a floor below which nothing is paid and a cap above which nothing more is owed.
The lender to the buyer did not sign the sale agreement but carries its consequences. When the earn-out falls due, the buyer must find the cash, from operating cash, from a drawing on its facilities or from its owners. The amount can be large against a year's cash flow, and the claim arises because the business has done well, which is not when a lender expects to be asked for headroom.
// 02 — HOW THE PAYMENT IS SET AND RECORDED
A lender reads four parts of the clause. The measure: an EBITDA earn-out has its own definition, which seldom matches the facility's on accounting policies, charges from the buyer's group or businesses bought in the meantime, so the bank may test one EBITDA while the seller is paid on another. The period decides when the cash goes, in one sum or in instalments. The formula, often a multiple of the amount by which the measure beats a floor, decides how much. And the conduct terms decide what the buyer must keep doing to the business meanwhile, and who settles a disputed figure, commonly an independent accountant.
The accounts record it before anyone knows the answer. Under IFRS 3, adopted in New Zealand as NZ IFRS 3 and in Australia as AASB 3, and applied by UK listed groups in their consolidated accounts, the buyer counts the earn-out's fair value at the acquisition date as part of the price. One payable in cash is a financial liability, revalued at every balance sheet date, and movements caused by what happens after completion, such as a target being hit, go to profit or loss. Reduced-disclosure (Tier 2) reporters in both countries measure it the same way. Payments the seller loses automatically by leaving employment are pay for future services, an expense, not price. UK companies on FRS 102 include an earn-out in the cost of the acquisition when payment is probable and can be measured reliably, and treat later revisions as adjustments to that cost; the edition in force for periods from 2026 also excludes from that cost amounts that pay former owners for future services.
// 03 — THE EXAMPLE
An IT services group, constructed for this page like every figure in it, buys a smaller firm for US$12m at completion plus an earn-out on the firm's EBITDA in its second year: three times the excess over US$2.0m, capped at US$6m. The founder of the acquired firm stays on to run it. At the end of year 2 the group's net debt is US$20m, after the completion payment, and the rest of the group earns EBITDA of US$8m. The earn-out will be paid from the revolving facility.
Leverage moves little across the outcomes, because the payment grows with the earnings that carry it. What moves is cash: in the best case US$6m leaves in a single quarter, against a revolver the bank sized for working capital. The lender's first question is whether the facility has the headroom on the payment date, and the second is whether the payment is permitted under the agreement at all.
The third question is what the target rewards. Each dollar of year-2 EBITDA above the floor is worth three dollars to the founder, who controls the spending:
The group has paid US$1.5m more for earnings that were borrowed from the following year, and its lender sees year-3 EBITDA fall just as the revolver carries the payment. A lender reading the year-2 accounts looks at what was spent, not only at what was earned.
// 04 — HOW IT DIFFERS FROM A VENDOR LOAN
A vendor loan and an earn-out both leave the seller waiting, but they put different questions to the bank. The vendor loan's amount is settled on the day of completion and falls due in good years and bad. The earn-out's amount is settled by the results, so it is smallest when the business is weakest. Against a vendor loan the bank subordinates and blocks payments in a bad year. Against an earn-out, its concern is the timing and size of a payment in a good year, and the quality of the earnings that triggered it.
Facility agreements also differ in how they count an unpaid earn-out. Some include it in financial indebtedness from completion; others only once it is due and unpaid, or not at all. A lender reading the leverage covenant checks which, and reads the earn-out among the debt-like items either way. On the earnings side, a fair-value charge and an earn-out treated as pay are both expenses that a borrower's adjusted EBITDA may add back, which is where an add-back cap earns its place.
DEFINED IN ONE PARAGRAPH → · PRO FORMA EBITDA → · THE NET DEBT DEFINITION →
// 05 — WHERE IT DECIDES A FILE
It decides the conditions on payment. A lender commonly allows an earn-out to be paid only if no default is continuing and, often, only if a leverage test is met with the payment counted. A borrower who expects to pay from the revolver asks for the headroom to be kept for it. The bank may also ask for the seller's claim to be subordinated, so that a dispute over the figure cannot become a rival demand on the business in a bad year.
It decides how the earnings are read. A credit paper on an acquisitive borrower separates EBITDA earned from EBITDA that triggered a payment, and reads the year after a measurement period as closely as the period itself. And a founder still owed an earn-out is both a manager and a creditor, two roles that can pull in different directions.
CORPORATE LENDING AND CREDIT RISK → · HOW BANKS TEST BORROWER FORECASTS →
// SOURCES
The documents the statements on this page rest on. Each was opened and checked when cited.
- Australian Accounting Standards Board, AASB 3 Business Combinations (compiled December 2022) — paragraphs 39, 40, 58 and B55 — The Australian standard that mirrors IFRS 3: contingent consideration is recognised at acquisition-date fair value, classified as liability or equity, remeasured at fair value through profit or loss when it is not equity, and payments forfeited on leaving employment are remuneration — section 02.
- Financial Reporting Council, FRS 102 The Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland — paragraphs 19.12 and 19.13 (as reproduced by Chartered Accountants Ireland, pre-2024 text) — An adjustment to the cost of a combination contingent on future events is included in cost when probable and reliably measurable, and later becomes an adjustment to that cost — section 02.
- Financial Reporting Council, FRS 102 Factsheet 6: Business combinations (November 2024) — paragraph 19.11B — After the Periodic Review 2024 amendments, a transaction that remunerates employees or former owners for future services is not part of the cost of a business combination — section 02.
// QUESTIONS PEOPLE ASK
- How does an earn-out work when selling a business?
- Completion settles only part of the price. The rest is a promise: if the business reaches targets written into the sale agreement, usually for revenue or EBITDA over one or more years, the buyer pays more, up to any cap. The agreement fixes the formula, how the result is measured, what the buyer may change in the business meanwhile, and how a disputed figure is settled. The seller bears the risk of a miss; the buyer and its lender bear the cash cost of a hit.
- Is an earn-out treated as debt?
- In IFRS accounts, an earn-out payable in cash is recorded as a financial liability at fair value. In a facility agreement it depends on the definition: some count it as financial indebtedness from completion, some only once it is due and unpaid, some not at all. Either way a lender reads it as money the business will have to find, and usually controls when it may be paid.
- How is an earn-out accounted for under IFRS 3?
- The earn-out's fair value on the date of acquisition is counted in the price. If it will be paid in cash it is a liability, revalued at each balance sheet date, and changes that arise after completion, such as a target being met, go to profit or loss rather than to goodwill. If the payment is automatically forfeited when the seller leaves employment, it is treated as pay for future services, an expense, rather than as part of the price.
- Does an earn-out payment reduce EBITDA?
- Not when it is part of the price: paying it settles a liability already recorded. Under IFRS, though, revaluing that liability as targets are hit or missed produces gains and losses in profit or loss, and an earn-out treated as pay for the seller's future services is an expense while it is earned. Under FRS 102 a revision adjusts the cost of the acquisition instead. Where these sit against reported EBITDA depends on presentation, so a lender checks whether the facility's definition adds them back.
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