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// WORKED EXAMPLETHE ARITHMETIC A DECISION RESTS ON

Serviceability Buffer: a Worked Example

Test the loan at a rate it has not reached yet.

BY MICHAEL SHANG · SIXTEEN YEARS IN COMMERCIAL BANKING · UPDATED

// THE SHORT ANSWER

A serviceability buffer is why a borrower is approved for less than the repayments at today's rate would suggest. The lender does not ask whether the loan is affordable now; it asks whether it would still be affordable if rates rose, and answers by recalculating the repayment at a higher test rate. A household that clears today's repayment can fail the buffered one, and the loan is then cut to the size that passes. In Australia, deposit-taking lenders must test new home loans at least 3 percentage points above the loan rate; elsewhere the test rate is set differently.

BASIS  Practitioner judgment from sixteen years in commercial banking, set out in How Bankers Think (Highbank Press, 2026). Every borrower on this site is a composite constructed for teaching, not a client. The market is mid-market commercial lending as practised in New Zealand and Australia; where a convention differs elsewhere, the page says so.

// MAKE THE CALL

Issue 10 — The Dissent. The paper recommends approval. You found the hole. You're the third vote of five — and the RM outranks you. Your call first, then the senior banker's.

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// 01 — WHY A LENDER TESTS AT A HIGHER RATE

A loan is approved on one day and repaid over decades. The rate on the day of approval is the one fact about the loan's future the lender knows will change. A borrower who can only just meet today's repayment has no room for a rise, a drop in income or a new cost. The buffer builds that room into the approval itself: the lender approves the loan only if the borrower could carry a higher repayment than the one it will actually charge.

The buffer is not a forecast. A lender testing at 3 points above the loan rate is not predicting a 3-point rise. It is choosing how much shock the borrower should be able to absorb before falling behind, and the answer governs how much it lends to everyone it tests.

// 02 — HOW THE TEST RATE IS SET

Test rate = loan rate + buffer (some lenders also apply a floor)
Test repayment = repayment on the full loan at the test rate
Pass = assessed monthly surplus ≥ test repayment

The surplus is the borrower's income after tax, less living costs and repayments on other debts, all as the lender assesses them. Who sets the buffer differs by market. In Australia, APRA requires the banks and other deposit-takers it regulates to assess new home-loan borrowers at a rate at least 3 percentage points above the loan's rate, allowing exceptions only if they are limited and monitored; non-bank lenders are outside that requirement. Since February 2026 APRA has also capped the share of each bank's new owner-occupier and investor lending at six or more times income at 20%. In New Zealand, banks choose their own test rates, and the Reserve Bank's debt-to-income restrictions, in force since July 2024, separately cap at 20% the share of each bank's new lending to owner-occupiers borrowing more than six times income, and to investors borrowing more than seven times. In the UK, the Bank of England withdrew its 3-point affordability test from 1 August 2022; lenders remain bound by the FCA's rules to take account of likely rate rises over at least the first five years, unless the rate is fixed for that long.

// 03 — THE EXAMPLE

A couple who own a picture-framing business, constructed for this page like every figure in it, apply to a bank in Australia for a US$640,000 home loan over 30 years at 6.1%. After tax, living costs and their other commitments, the bank assesses that they have US$4,900 a month available for repayments. The 6.1% rate is the example's; the 3-point buffer is the Australian minimum.

Repayment at 6.1% (loan rate): 3,878 a month surplus 4,900 passes by 1,022
Repayment at 9.1% (test rate): 5,196 a month surplus 4,900 fails by 296
Largest loan that passes at 6.1%: about 808,600
Largest loan that passes at 9.1%: about 603,600

On today's rate the couple have more than US$1,000 a month to spare. On the test rate they are short. The bank offers about US$603,600, and the buffer has taken roughly a quarter off what the same income would support at the actual rate. The couple will repay US$3,658 a month on the smaller loan at 6.1%, leaving them the room the test was designed to keep.

// 04 — THE BUSINESS-LOAN VERSION

Business lenders apply the same idea to cover ratios, and in all three markets the test rate is the lender's own. A credit paper sets the debt service coverage ratio at the actual rate beside the same ratio at a sensitised one. Suppose the couple's business borrowed a US$5.0m term loan at 6.5%, repaid at US$400,000 a year, from US$1.1m of cash available for debt service, all figures the example's:

At 6.5%: 1.10 ÷ (0.325 + 0.40) = 1.10 ÷ 0.725 = 1.52×
At 8.5%: 1.10 ÷ (0.425 + 0.40) = 1.10 ÷ 0.825 = 1.33×

The sensitised figure tells the credit committee what a rise would do to the borrower's margin of safety, and whether a hedge is worth requiring. Unlike the Australian home-loan buffer, there is no prescribed level: the size of the shock is the lender's judgment, and different banks test different moves.

DEFINED IN ONE PARAGRAPH → · SERVICEABILITY → · THE QUESTION ON IT →

// 05 — WHERE IT DECIDES A FILE

It decides the size of the loan more often than whether there is one. Borrowers who fail a buffered test are often offered less, asked for a larger deposit, or asked to clear other debts first. Credit card limits are a common example: lenders commonly assess a repayment on the full limit, so cancelling an unused card can lift what a borrower passes for.

It also decides how a refinance is read. A borrower moving to a lender who will test at a buffer again may find that the loan it already services is larger than the new lender will approve. For a business banker, the buffer matters in a second way: owners' personal borrowing, tested at a buffered rate, sets how much income they need to draw from the business, and that feeds back into the cash the business keeps.

// SOURCES

The documents the statements on this page rest on. Each was opened and checked when cited.

  1. Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, Strengthening residential mortgage lending assessments (letter to ADIs, 6 October 2021) — Raised the buffer ADIs are expected to use in assessing home-loan serviceability from 2.5 to at least 3.0 percentage points above the loan rate, from the end of October 2021 — section 02 and the FAQ.
  2. Bank of England, Financial Policy Committee, An FPC response: consultation on withdrawal of the affordability test Recommendation (June 2022) — Withdrew the 3-point affordability test from 1 August 2022, kept the loan-to-income flow limit, and noted that affordability assessment remains subject to the FCA's rules — section 02 and the FAQ.
  3. Financial Conduct Authority, Interest rate 'stress test' rule: application of MCOB 11.6.18R (updated December 2025) — States that lenders must consider likely rate rises for at least five years, or the contract's length if shorter, with no stress test required where the rate is fixed for the first five years or more — section 02 and the FAQ.

// QUESTIONS PEOPLE ASK

What is the APRA serviceability buffer?
It is the requirement that Australian banks and other deposit-takers regulated by APRA assess whether new home-loan borrowers can meet their repayments at an interest rate at least 3 percentage points above the loan's rate. APRA raised it from 2.5 to 3 points in October 2021 and has kept it there since, adding a limit on high debt-to-income lending from February 2026. Non-bank lenders are not bound by it, though they have their own responsible-lending obligations.
Is there a mortgage stress test in the UK?
The Bank of England's specific test, which checked affordability at 3 percentage points above the reversion rate, was withdrawn from 1 August 2022. Lenders still have to assess affordability under the FCA's mortgage conduct rules, including taking account of likely interest rate rises over at least the first five years unless the rate is fixed for that period, and the Bank's limit on high loan-to-income lending remains.
What test rate do New Zealand banks use?
Each bank sets its own, and they change it as market rates move. There is no regulatory buffer like Australia's. Lenders' affordability assessments for consumer loans sit under New Zealand's responsible-lending law, and since July 2024 the Reserve Bank has limited the share of each bank's new home lending that can go to borrowers whose debt is a high multiple of their income.
Why does a bank test my loan at a higher rate than I will pay?
Because the rate on the day you borrow is not the rate you will pay for the life of the loan. Testing at a higher rate checks that you could still afford the repayments if rates rose or your circumstances tightened, without falling behind. The result usually shows up as a smaller maximum loan, not a refusal.

THE IN-TRAY · ONE MINUTE

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THE FIRST QUESTION · CHAPTER 1

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